Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
44.6% ( -0.5) | 25.51% ( -0.03) | 29.89% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( 0.39) | 49.7% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( 0.34) | 71.71% ( -0.34) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -0.06) | 22.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -0.1) | 55.68% ( 0.1) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( 0.57) | 30.63% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.13% ( 0.68) | 66.87% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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