Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Torquay United |
73.67% | 16.08% ( 0) | 10.26% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.58% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.34% ( -0.01) | 36.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.18% ( -0.01) | 58.83% ( 0.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.45% ( -0) | 8.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.41% ( -0.01) | 29.59% ( 0.01) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.31% ( -0.01) | 44.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.32% ( -0.01) | 80.69% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Torquay United |
2-0 @ 11.55% 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.86% 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 73.66% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.08% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.05% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 10.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
> National League Full Table |