National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Wrexham6 - 0Torquay Utd
We said: Wrexham 3-1 Torquay United
With the form that Wrexham are in, it is hard to see anything other than a comfortable win for them at home. Torquay have definitely been better on the road but the goalscoring duo of Mullins and Palmer may prove to be slightly too much to handle for them, although it wouldn't be surprising if Goodwin also found the back of the net for Torquay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Torquay United |
| 73.67% | 16.08% ( 0) | 10.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
