Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.