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National League | Gameweek 41
Apr 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Barnet

York City
1 - 0
Barnet

Forde (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Havilland (58'), Gorman (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between York City and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last Game: York City 0-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: York City 0-1 Barnet

 Both of these teams are fighting for something at this stage of the campaign, and we are expecting it to be a close match on Monday night, but Barnet's superior quality should see them claim a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawBarnet
35.49% (0.205 0.2) 23.9% (-0.528 -0.53) 40.61% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.64% (1.984 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (2.571 2.57)40.55% (-2.573 -2.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (2.588 2.59)62.93% (-2.591 -2.59)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (1.295 1.3)22.74% (-1.298 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (1.886 1.89)56.42% (-1.888 -1.89)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (1.25 1.25)20.21% (-1.253 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (1.964 1.96)52.53% (-1.967 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    York City 35.49%
    Barnet 40.61%
    Draw 23.89%
York CityDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.232 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.107 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.237 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.564 -0.56)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.591 -0.59)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.251 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.136 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.148 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 40.61%

How you voted: York City vs Barnet

York City
39.1%
Draw
8.7%
Barnet
52.2%
23
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Barnet
0-5
York City

Collinge (34')
Kerr (12'), Hurst (26'), John-Lewis (48', 72'), Sanders (90+3')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
York City
1-1
Barnet
Alessandra (20')
Hendrie (42')
Akinde (37')
Champion (59'), Nelson (75')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Barnet
3-1
York City
Akinde (59'), Gash (82'), Clarke (90')
Yiadom (67')
Coulson (80')
McCoy (36'), Collins (86')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
York City
1-2
Barnet
Rankine (7')
Yiadom (25'), Hyde (73')
Stack (90')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Barnet
1-3
York City
Nurse (30')
Parslow (7'), Chambers (16'), Coulson (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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