Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Barnet |
35.49% ( 0.2) | 23.9% ( -0.53) | 40.61% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 61.64% ( 1.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% ( 2.57) | 40.55% ( -2.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% ( 2.59) | 62.93% ( -2.59) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( 1.3) | 22.74% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% ( 1.89) | 56.42% ( -1.89) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% ( 1.25) | 20.21% ( -1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.47% ( 1.96) | 52.53% ( -1.97) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 40.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
> National League Full Table |