Moldova1 - 2Kazakhstan
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Moldova 0-1 Kazakhstan
Neither side is used to winning, even in the modest environs of League C, so the first leg could well be an attritional affair decided by a single goal. The visitors are best placed to take a lead back home for next Tuesday's return, given their higher standing and past results against some of Europe's mid-ranking nations. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Moldova win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 36.77% | 24.87% | 38.36% |
| Both teams to score 58.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
