Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4

Oct 24, 2023 at 5pm UK

INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
3 - 3
Jagiellonia

Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Normann Hansen (54'), Skrzypczak (66'), Wdowik (90+6' pen.)
Romanczuk (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 15.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
64.25% ( 0)	19.79% ( -0)	15.96% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-0)

40.12% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-0)

62.49% (

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19%

11.8% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.97%

37.02% (

-0)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82% (

-0)

38.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.06% (

-0.01)

74.94% (

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 64.24%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 15.96%

Draw 19.79%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.24%	1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.79%	1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.96%