Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Ruch Chorzow
60.07% ( -0.03)	22.08% ( 0)	17.85% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

0.03)

46.95% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

0.03)

69.2% (

-0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

43.85%

Ruch Chorzow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

0.05)

39.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

0.05)

76.64% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 60.06%

Ruch Chorzow 17.85%

Draw 22.07%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Ruch Chorzow
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.06%	1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.58% 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.85%