Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.94%) and 0-1 (4.89%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.