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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Portimonense

Arouca
4 - 0
Portimonense

Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Luquinhas (13'), Seck (27'), Pedrao (34'), Ouattara (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, January 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Santa Clara
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense

Both sides will be pleased with their respective campaigns so far, and there is unlikely to be much splitting them on the day. As such, we would not be surprised if a share of the spoils is the ultimate outcome, which would prolong Portimonense's winless streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawPortimonense
46.64% (0.492 0.49) 27.19% (-0.131 -0.13) 26.18% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (0.247 0.25)58.13% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (0.193 0.19)78.79% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.349 0.35)24.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.484 0.48)59.57% (-0.487 -0.49)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)38.02% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (-0.17 -0.17)74.79% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 46.63%
    Portimonense 26.18%
    Draw 27.18%
AroucaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Arouca vs Portimonense

Arouca
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
Portimonense
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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