Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
46.64% (![]() | 27.19% (![]() | 26.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.87% (![]() | 58.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.21% (![]() | 78.79% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% (![]() | 24.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.43% (![]() | 59.57% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.98% (![]() | 38.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.21% (![]() | 74.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.16% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |