Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
0 - 4
Arouca

Onyemaechi (1'), Perez (45+1'), Morais (67'), Berna (81'), Ferreira (82')
Morais (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cristo (2', 23'), Mujica (39'), Jason (72')
Milovanov (42'), Sylla (55'), Trezza (70')
Milovanov (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Boavista (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, November 26 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Boavista (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, November 26 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Arouca enjoyed success in Sousa's first game in charge, last weekend's cup meeting did take place on home turf. They will lose home advantage for Sunday's league meeting, and with Boavista looking to avenge their cup exit, we think that the determined hosts will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Arouca
41.67% ( 1.05)	26.41% ( -0.23)	31.92% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34% (

0.7)

52.66% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7% (

0.6)

74.3% (

-0.6)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

0.87)

24.97% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

1.19)

59.61% (

-1.19)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

-0.2)

30.72% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

-0.24)

66.98% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Boavista 41.67%

Arouca 31.92%

Draw 26.41%

Boavista	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.67%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.92%