Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
6 - 1
Portimonense

Horta (47'), Elmusrati (52' pen.), Djalo (59'), Banza (83' pen., 87', 90')
Djalo (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedrao (10')
Costa (42'), Tornich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Casa Pia
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Braga 2-1 Portimonense

Portimonense have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks but will have to show their mettle against a Braga side who are unbeaten in the previous 18 meetings between the sides. While Braga have suffered a drop-off in form of late, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around this weekend and we are backing them to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Portimonense
63.59% ( 3.49)	20.29% ( -1.12)	16.11% ( -2.38)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86% (

0.88)

42.13% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46% (

0.87)

64.54% (

-0.87)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.4% (

1.3)

12.59% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.32% (

2.64)

38.68% (

-2.64)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78% (

-2.28)

39.22% (

2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07% (

-2.2)

75.92% (

2.2)

Score Analysis

Braga 63.59%

Portimonense 16.11%

Draw 20.29%

Braga	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.6) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.55) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.29) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.4% Total : 63.59%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.29%	0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.27) Other @ 2% Total : 16.11%