Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 1Braga
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Arouca
Monday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Braga |
24.44% ( 1.09) | 23.56% ( 0.66) | 52% ( -1.75) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( -1.85) | 45.1% ( 1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( -1.8) | 67.44% ( 1.8) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.08) | 32.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.08% ( -0.09) | 68.92% ( 0.09) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -1.3) | 17.35% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.26% ( -2.33) | 47.73% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 24.44%
Braga 52.01%
Draw 23.55%
| Arouca | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.44% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.81% Total : 52.01% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Braga
Arouca
6.3%Draw
0.0%Braga
93.8%16
