Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.75% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() | 60.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% (![]() | 49.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% (![]() | 71.47% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% (![]() | 42.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.88% (![]() | 79.12% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% (![]() | 15.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% (![]() | 44.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.72% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 12.45% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.51% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |