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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Casa Pia

Portimonense
1 - 2
Casa Pia

Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Estrela (11'), Diaby-Fadiga (26'), Klismahn (52'), Pedrao (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
Taira (17'), Soares (33'), Clayton (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, December 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia

Portimonense and Casa Pia will be looking to quickly bounce back from their respective cup disappointments and mark their return to the Primeira Liga on a high. However, Martin's side have found a way to grind out results away from home this season and we predict that they will come away with a slender victory on Wednesday against an out-of-sorts Portimonense side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawCasa Pia
47.52% (0.601 0.6) 25.41% (-0.14 -0.14) 27.07% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (0.273 0.27)50.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (0.241 0.24)72.74% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.381 0.38)21.41% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.585 0.59)54.41% (-0.585 -0.59)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.223 -0.22)33.35% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (-0.244 -0.24)69.97% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 47.52%
    Casa Pia 27.07%
    Draw 25.41%
PortimonenseDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.52%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Casa Pia

Portimonense
33.3%
Draw
20.8%
Casa Pia
45.8%
24
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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