Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea
Vila Mea0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Vila Mea and Estrela Amadora.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Vila Mea had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Vila Mea win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estrela Amadora in this match.
Result | ||
Vila Mea | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
24.63% ( 0.09) | 24.12% ( 0) | 51.23% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( 0.07) | 47.37% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% ( 0.07) | 69.59% ( -0.08) |
Vila Mea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.52% ( 0.12) | 33.47% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% ( 0.13) | 70.11% ( -0.14) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( -0.02) | 18.49% ( 0.01) |