We said: Boavista 1-2 Gil Vicente
Boavista represent a tricky opponent for Gil Vicente as the hosts have lost only once at home in the league this term, but this is a Gilistas side that has fared well on their travels this season, and having won three of the last four competitive meetings between the two sides, we think that Gil Vicente will claim another victory on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.