Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 21, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Joel (12')
Joel (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Rio Ave
29.88%	29.79%	40.34%

Both teams to score 41.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.9%

65.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.04%

83.96%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15%

38.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42%

75.58%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32%

31.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91%

68.09%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 29.87%

Rio Ave 40.33%

Draw 29.78%

Maritimo	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 29.87%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.3% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.78%	0-1 @ 14.14% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.92% Total : 40.33%