Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
46.01% ( -0.14) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 26.97% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.9% ( -0.13) | 57.11% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.02% ( -0.1) | 77.98% ( 0.11) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( -0.12) | 24.79% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% ( -0.17) | 59.37% ( 0.18) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( 0.01) | 36.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( 0.01) | 73.58% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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