Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
54% | 25.83% | 20.17% |
Both teams to score 43.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.76% | 58.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.12% | 78.88% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% | 21.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% | 54.81% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.06% | 43.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.92% | 80.07% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |