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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon

Guimaraes
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')

Preview: Vitoria de Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both seeking to pick up a third Primeira Liga victory on the trot, Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon lock horns at the Dom Afonso Henriques on Sunday.

The reigning champions will also be looking to complete a second consecutive league double over the hosts after claiming a 1-0 victory back in October's reverse fixture.


Match preview

A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020© Reuters

Vitoria de Guimaraes made it two wins from two for the third time this season last Sunday when they saw off a dogged Maritimo side 1-0 away from home.

Following a drab first half at the Estadio do Maritimo, substitute Nicolas Janvier came up trumps from the visitors as he scored the only goal of the game with eight minutes left to play.

Prior to that, Vitoria de Guimaraes ended their run of three consecutive losses as they claimed a 2-1 comeback win over Famalicao on March 6, when Oscar Estupinan and Rochinha scored to cancel out Pepe's opener and turn the game on its head.

This upturn in form has seen Pepa's side rise to sixth place in the Primeira Liga standings with 35 points from 26 games, nine points off Gil Vicente in the final playoff spot.

While they will look to keep the juggernaut rolling, standing in their way is an opposing side who they have failed to defeat in each of the last six meetings between the teams since 2019, claiming one draw and losing five, including each of their most recent three encounters.

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Sporting Lisbon, on the other hand, continued to chase down Porto at the top of the league table as they claimed a 2-0 victory at Moreirense last time out.

In-form forward Islam Slimani delivered the goods once again as he opened the scoring in the 29th minute before Paulinho made sure of the result as he doubled the lead 10 minutes later.

Ruben Amorim's side head into the weekend unbeaten in seven consecutive Primeira Liga games, claiming five wins and two draws since a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Braga on January 22.

Sporting Lisbon have now won 20, drawn four and lost two of their 26 games this season to collect 64 points and sit second in the table, six points off rivals Porto, who are yet to taste defeat in the league this season.

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Sporting Lisbon's Islam Slimani celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

The Portuguese duo of Joao Palhinha and Pedro Goncalves returned from their injury lay-offs in Monday's game against Moreirense, meaning Sporting Lisbon now boasts a clean bill of health.

Goncalves and Pablo Sarabia were handed cameo appearances off the bench last Monday, and we expect them to come into the XI on Saturday, potentially at the expense of Marcus Edwards and Paulinho respectively.

Slimani has hit the ground running in the Portuguese league, registering four goals and one assist in six games since his arrival in January, and the former Leicester City man will definitely be one to keep an eye out for.

Like the reigning champions, Vitoria de Guimaraes head into Saturday's game without any injury or suspension concerns, giving Pepa the luxury of a full-strength squad at his disposal.

Janvier staked his claim for a starting role after coming off the bench to grab the winner against Maritimo last time out and the French forward could be rewarded with just his fifth starting appearance this weekend.

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Varela; Maga, Fernandes, Mumin, Soares; Almeida, Semedo; Lameiras, Silva, Rochinha; Estupinan

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Neto, Coates, Feddal; Porro, Nunes, Ugarte, Reis; Goncalves, Slimani, Sarabia


SM words green background

We say: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a fine run of results in the month of March and this could kindle a late charge for the playoffs places. However, next up is a Sporting Lisbon side who they have failed to defeat in each of their last six encounters, while losing each of the last three. With their European dreams over, Sporting Lisbon will fully focus on their title defence and we predict they will maintain their fine form and come away with a comfortable win in this one.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon

Vitoria de Guimaraes
6.5%
Draw
9.7%
Sporting Lisbon
83.9%
31
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Porto's Mateus Uribe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 24, 2022
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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