Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
40.46% ( 0.22) | 24.73% ( 0.18) | 34.81% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( -0.9) | 44.66% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% ( -0.88) | 67.02% ( 0.88) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0.29) | 22.05% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% ( -0.44) | 55.39% ( 0.44) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( -0.64) | 25.03% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( -0.9) | 59.69% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |