Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
45.66% ( -0.33) | 23.26% ( -0.08) | 31.08% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 62.36% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% ( 0.63) | 38.94% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.74% ( 0.66) | 61.26% ( -0.66) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( 0.12) | 17.42% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% ( 0.2) | 47.86% ( -0.2) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( 0.57) | 24.49% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% ( 0.79) | 58.94% ( -0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.01% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 17 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 17 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
4 | Montrose | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 16 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
6 | Arbroath | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 14 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | -3 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |