Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.