Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
40.45% ( -0.51) | 24.03% ( 0.22) | 35.53% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 61.16% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( -1) | 41.18% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.43% ( -1.02) | 63.57% ( 1.02) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0.66) | 20.56% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -1.05) | 53.08% ( 1.05) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.3) | 23.01% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% ( -0.45) | 56.82% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |