Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
46.68% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( -0.02) | 28.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( 0.1) | 45.1% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% ( 0.1) | 67.44% ( -0.1) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% ( 0.05) | 19.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% ( 0.08) | 51.27% ( -0.08) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( 0.06) | 28.93% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( 0.07) | 64.81% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |