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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 at 11.30am UK
San Siro
Genoa logo

AC Milan
2 - 1
Genoa

Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
68.16%18.79%13.06%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14%41.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74%64.26%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74%11.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15%35.85%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69%43.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45%79.55%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.15%
    Genoa 13.06%
    Draw 18.79%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 11.63%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.62%
4-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 68.15%
1-1 @ 8.91%
0-0 @ 4.88%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.08%
1-2 @ 3.73%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 13.06%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
87.5%
Draw
11.3%
Genoa
1.3%
80
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
Mar 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-2
Genoa
Pandev (7'), Cassata (41')
Oct 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Schone (41')
Zapata (23'), Lerager (64'), Schone (67'), Romero (88')
Saponara (45'), Biraschi (57')
Hernandez (51'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Calabria (43'), Biglia (62'), Paqueta (84')
Calabria (79'), Castillejo (94')
Jan 21, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 20
Genoa
0-2
AC Milan

Romero (41'), Rolon (70'), Zukanovic (77')
Borini (72'), Suso (83')
Borini (8'), Cutrone (45'), Paqueta (58')
Oct 31, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Suso (4'), Romagnoli (90')
Kessie (50'), Rodriguez (83')
Romagnoli (56' og.)
Criscito (43'), Veloso (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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