Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
