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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Torino logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Torino

Weah (18'), Yildiz (84')
Koopmeiners (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lazaro (57'), Walukiewicz (59'), Coco (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turin derby between Juventus and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-0 Torino

Juventus have conceded the fewest shots in total (93) and on target (27) in Serie A thus far, while Torino have conceded the most overall (188). That points to a comfortable home win for derby dominators Juve, who must surely keep another clean sheet against Toro's ailing attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawTorino
54.22% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 21.29% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.1% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (0.102 0.1)52.17% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12% (0.087 0.09)73.88% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.039999999999992 0.04)19.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.067999999999998 0.07)50.83% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (0.073 0.07)39.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.07 0.07)75.96% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 54.21%
    Torino 21.29%
    Draw 24.48%
JuventusDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Juventus vs Torino

Juventus
86.6%
Draw
8.4%
Torino
5.0%
119
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
0-0
Juventus
Vojvoda (45+4'), Ricci (45+2'), Linetty (76')
Juric (45')
Gatti (44'), Cambiaso (69')
Oct 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
2-0
Torino
Gatti (47'), Milik (62')
Gatti (71')

Bellanova (21')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Juventus
4-2
Torino
Cuadrado (16'), Danilo (45+1'), Bremer (71'), Rabiot (80')
Karamoh (2'), Sanabria (43')
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Juventus
1-1
Torino
De Ligt (13')
Cuadrado (73')
Belotti (62')
Lukic (82'), Mandragora (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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