Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
