Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
56.29% ( -0.24) | 23.67% ( 0.1) | 20.03% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.22) | 50.44% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.2) | 72.37% ( 0.2) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% ( -0.17) | 17.74% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% ( -0.29) | 48.42% ( 0.3) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.42% ( 0.02) | 39.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.74% ( 0.02) | 76.26% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.28% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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