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Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 5, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo

Roma
0 - 0
Genoa


Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')
FT

Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')

Preview: Roma vs. Genoa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Continuing their pursuit of a European place for next season, Roma welcome crisis club Genoa to Stadio Olimpico on Saturday afternoon.

Before the last fortnight's hiatus, the Giallorossi had put together a three-match winning run between Serie A and the Coppa Italia, while their relegation-threatened visitors are without a victory in 20 games all told.


Match preview

Roma's Tammy Abraham celebrates scoring their first goal on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Further establishing himself as a darling of the Olimpico, top scorer Tammy Abraham was on target twice in Roma's last league outing, when they raced into a four-goal lead over Empoli at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Though Jose Mourinho's men only managed to seal a 4-2 margin of victory by the final whistle, another three points were banked - a week after defeating Cagliari and just days after securing progress to the Coppa Italia quarter-finals, where they face Inter next week.

Roma sit sixth in the standings, but could be far better placed were it not for their lack of points accrued away from home. Even modestly funded clubs such as Empoli and Sassuolo have managed more, so they must continue to pick up wins on Roman soil in order to remain contenders for a top-four spot.

One of the Giallorossi's few successes outside the capital this term came at Genoa's expense in November's 2-0 win at Marassi, and they will certainly fancy their chances of completing the double over their Ligurian counterparts on Saturday.

Not only are they unbeaten in 15 Serie A meetings with this weekend's opponents, but they have also averaged more than two goals per game in the process. Therefore, Mourinho will expect to complete a three-match winning streak in the league for the first time since the very start of his tenure.

 Genoa's Manolo Portanova and Davide Biraschi applaud fans after the match with Atalanta BC on December 21, 2021© Reuters

Already on their third coach of a tumultuous campaign, Genoa will travel south this weekend still seeking just their second league win of the season.

After they drew at home to Udinese last time out, in Alexander Blessin's dugout debut, the Grifone remain entrenched in the bottom three - currently five points adrift of safety having played a game more than some of their relegation rivals.

Having ruthlessly sacked their high-profile head coach Andriy Shevchenko, as the club's new ownership feared a potential descent to the second tier and appointed Blessin, the former RB Leipzig youth coach is now tasked with reviving an ailing side.

Crushed 6-0 by Fiorentina just days before his arrival, Genoa - who were also recently knocked out of the cup by Milan - at least kept a rare clean sheet against Udinese, but it is arguably at the other end of the pitch where their most acute problems lie.

Averaging less than a goal per game this season, the Ligurians have endured a winless streak in Serie A which now stands at 20 consecutive matches - the longest ongoing run throughout Europe's top five leagues.

Roma Serie A form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Roma form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Genoa Serie A form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Genoa form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Roma's Lorenzo Pellegrini celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Roma's return to action could also see their captain Lorenzo Pellegrini back in business, as the Italy international rejoined training earlier this week after a thigh injury sustained in November.

With Pellegrini at best set to take a place on the bench - then hoping to be fit enough to be fit enough to start the Coppa Italia tie with Inter next Tuesday - Henrikh Mkhitaryan is expected to feature in a creative role behind Nicolo Zaniolo and Tammy Abraham; the latter having scored 10 Serie A goals so far.

Meanwhile, Abraham's compatriot Ainsley Maitland-Niles, on loan from Arsenal until the summer, is in competition with full-backs Rick Karsdorp and Matias Vina for a start on either flank.

After a rapid turnover of players at Marassi, the visitors could give debuts to Atalanta loanee Roberto Piccoli, German midfielder Nadiem Amiri and former AZ Alkmaar winger Albert Gudmundsson on Saturday.

The trio are among a number of new recruits in the Genoa squad, which will be without departed duo Felipe Caicedo (Inter) - whose brief and injury-hit spell at the club has been cut short - and veteran forward Goran Pandev (Parma).

Domenico Criscito is a major doubt and Andrea Cambiaso must serve a suspension for Alexander Blessin's side, so Riccardo Calafiori is favourite to start at left-back.

Roma possible starting lineup:
Patricio; Smalling, Mancini, Ibanez; Karsdorp, Cristante, Oliveira, Mkhitaryan, Vina; Zaniolo, Abraham

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Hefti, Ostigard, Vanheusden, Calafiori; Badelj, Sturaro; Gudmundsson, Amiri, Yeboah; Destro


SM words green background

We say: Roma 2-0 Genoa

Although Genoa's winless run must eventually end, the likelihood of that happening at the Olimpico this week is minimal - even with a number of fresh faces to provide new attacking options.

Roma really must take advantage of a clear opportunity to take three more points on home turf, and their final-third quality will prove the difference on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Roma vs Genoa

Roma
92.7%
Draw
6.3%
Genoa
1.0%
96
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Roma's Tammy Abraham celebrates scoring their third goal on November 25, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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