Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 1Spezia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
| 66.51% | 18.71% | 14.77% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
