Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 24, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 0
Spezia

Scamacca (62'), Shomurodov (86')
Criscito (18'), Pandev (32')
Ballardini (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Terzi (2'), N'Zola (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Spezia
43.15%	25.15%	31.7%

Both teams to score 56.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62%

47.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4%

69.59%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06%

21.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.79%

55.21%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06%

63.93%

Score Analysis

Genoa 43.15%

Spezia 31.7%

Draw 25.14%

Genoa	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.7%