Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan1 - 0Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Marko Arnautovic's second-half strike propels Inter Milan to a 1-0 first-leg win over Atletico Madrid in their Champions League last-16 tie.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
60.89% ( -0.64) | 21.17% ( 0.1) | 17.93% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
