Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan1 - 0Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Marko Arnautovic's second-half strike propels Inter Milan to a 1-0 first-leg win over Atletico Madrid in their Champions League last-16 tie.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
60.89% ( -0.64) | 21.17% ( 0.1) | 17.93% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 54.01% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.13% ( 0.48) | 42.87% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.73% ( 0.48) | 65.27% ( -0.47) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% ( -0.04) | 13.61% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.24% ( -0.08) | 40.76% ( 0.08) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% ( 0.92) | 37.48% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% ( 0.89) | 74.26% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 60.88%
Atletico Madrid 17.93%
Draw 21.17%
Inter Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.93% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atletico
Inter Milan
65.1%Draw
19.7%Atletico Madrid
15.2%461
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2018 8.05pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:13:46
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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