Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Farense
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Atalanta BC
While Atalanta seldom lose in this competition, Sporting are in superior form, and that momentum should see them record a marginal victory in Lisbon on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
68.66% ( -0.16) | 17.77% ( 0.03) | 13.57% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
