Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
35.53% | 26% | 38.47% |
Both teams to score 54.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% | 72.17% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% | 27.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.35% | 62.65% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% | 25.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.58% | 60.41% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |