Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 2
Spezia

Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Spezia

Spezia's recent form has been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than an away victory here considering Salernitana's struggles, but a busy January window for the hosts will leave the supporters hopeful that their team's fortunes could change in the second half of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
35.53%	26%	38.47%

Both teams to score 54.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79%

50.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83%

72.17%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77%

27.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35%

62.65%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45%

25.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58%

60.41%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 35.53%

Spezia 38.47%

Draw 25.99%

Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.47%