Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
35.53% | 26% | 38.47% |
Both teams to score 54.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% | 72.17% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% | 27.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.35% | 62.65% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% | 25.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.58% | 60.41% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |