Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.