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[monks data]
Benevento logo
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Parma logo

Benevento
2 - 2
Parma

Glik (23'), Ionita (67')
Hetemaj (76'), Di Serio (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kurtic (55'), Man (88')
Bani (48')

Preview: Benevento vs. Parma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Benevento and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Parma head into Saturday's fixture at Benevento sitting four points adrift of safety in the Serie A standings, a consequence of winning just three matches all season.

Having stunned Juventus in their most recent game, the home side welcome their relegation rivals to Municipal Stadium Ciro Vigorito holding a seven-point advantage over the bottom three.


Match preview

Parma manager Roberto D'Aversa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

When Parma ended a 17-match winless streak to defeat Roma on March 14, there was a feeling that Roberto D'Aversa's side had turned a corner in their bid to avoid relegation.

However, losing from a winning position at home to Genoa has changed the mood at Stadio Ennio Tardini, leaving D'Aversa with the international break to decide on a plan of action.

With Torino still in close proximity, D'Aversa will not panic at this stage of the campaign, but his side cannot afford to lose their upcoming fixture.

Despite remaining with the worst attacking record in the division, Parma have scored in their last seven fixtures, helped by Graziano Pelle netting his first goal for the club in the last match.

Benevento have also endured an unproductive spell of late, recording just one win from 12 matches played since January 9.

Nevertheless, that one victory, which came immediately before the international break, was against champions Juventus, the 1-0 triumph in Turin delivering a hammer blow to their opponents' title chances.

One-time Manchester United target Adolfo Gaich netted the all-important goal, his second strike in five matches since his January arrival.

Filippo Inzaghi will receive widespread plaudits if he manages to keep Benevento in the top flight, but the AC Milan legend will not be satisfied with survival in the top flight.

Of their last 10 fixtures of the season, Gli Stregoni's only have two games against teams currently occupying a place in the top six of the table.

Benevento Serie A form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Parma Serie A form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Benevento manager Filippo Inzaghi pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Barring any late fitness issues, Inzaghi could select the same side which started the fixture at Juventus.

However, Kamil Glik is back from suspension, leaving Inzaghi to decide whether he should recall the Poland international after three appearances for his country.

D'Aversa may consider handing a start to January arrival Joshua Zirkzee, who has been restricted to four substitute outings since his arrival from Bayern Munich.

Hernani could be recalled to the side in place of Jasmin Kurtic, while D'Aversa may consider handing a rest to Juraj Kucka after a busy period with Slovakia.

Benevento possible starting lineup:
Montipo; Tuia, Barba, Caldirola; Improta, Hetemaj, Viola, Ionita, Foulon; Lapadula, Gaich

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe, Conti, Osorio, Bani, Pezzella; Kucka, Brugman, Hernani; Zirkee, Pelle, Karamoh


SM words green background

We say: Benevento 1-1 Parma

With safety the target of both clubs, they face the prospect of being caught between pushing for victory and looking to avoid defeat in this game. With that in mind, we expect a tense affair, one which could end with the two sides accepting a point apiece.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Benevento vs Parma

Benevento
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Parma
11.1%
27
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Juventus attacker Cristiano Ronaldo reacts during the Serie A clash with Benevento on March 21, 2021
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2Inter Milan1173125131224
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5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
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13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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