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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 7, 2021 at 7pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Vitesse

Sparta
3 - 0
Vitesse

Smeets (36'), Thy (77'), Emegha (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Sparta Rotterdam vs. Vitesse - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Vitesse square off against Sparta Rotterdam on Friday evening realistically requiring all three points if they want to remain in the hunt for second position.

Meanwhile, the home side have recorded two successive victories in the Eredivisie, helping them move into ninth spot in the standings.


Match preview

Henk Fraser, now in charge of Sparta Rotterdam, pictured in 2017© Reuters

Despite the added distraction of the KNVB Beker, Vitesse have managed to put together an eight-match unbeaten streak in the Dutch top flight.

They had been on the brink of recording their third successive draw against PEC Zwolle before Idrissa Toure netted a last-minute winner.

With just three games remaining, overtaking both PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar may be out of their reach, but Thomas Letsch will want to ensure that fourth spot is secured as soon as possible.

Two wins from three matches will achieve that target, and Letsch will want those six points to be achieved against Sparta and Fortuna Sittard, with Ajax to come on the final day.

Chelsea loanee Armando Broja netted his 10th goal of the season against Zwolle, ending a two-month wait for another strike in the Eredivisie.

For the first nine weeks of 2021, it appeared that Sparta were on course to be dragged back into a relegation battle ahead of the run-in.

However, five victories from seven matches have ended that threat, and Henk Fraser's side now have eyes on seventh-placed Groningen.

Like with their visitors, having just three matches to overturn a big deficit makes things difficult, but Fraser will believe that Sparta can record maximum points from their closing triple-header.

Top goalscorer Lennart Thy has scored just three goals in 15 outings, with his current drought lasting three fixtures.

Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Vitesse Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Vitesse form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Fraser will give consideration to naming the same Sparta XI after their excellent performance at Groningen.

Deroy Duarte is an alternative in a creative role, but Fraser is expected to stick with Bryan Smeets.

While Letsch switched from a back three during the second half against Zwolle, he will likely stick with a 3-5-2 formation for this game.

Lois Openda and Oussama Darfalou, both with eight goals this season, are competing for one spot alongside Broja in attack.

Despite netting the decisive goal in the most recent fixture, Toure is expected to stay on the substitutes' bench.

Sparta Rotterdam possible starting lineup:
Okoye; Abels, Beugelsdijk, Auassar, Meijers; Harroui, Duarte; Mijnans, Smeets, Engels; Thy

Vitesse possible starting lineup:
Pasveer; Doekhi, Cornelisse, Hajek; Oroz, Bruns, Tannane, Bero, Manhoef; Broja, Openda


SM words green background

We say: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Vitesse

With both clubs enjoying a positive period, we expect a competitive encounter to play out at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.

However, we are backing the visitors to edge their way to a hard-fought win, potentially securing fourth place in the process.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sparta vs Vitesse

Sparta Rotterdam
27.0%
Draw
18.9%
Vitesse
54.1%
37
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14Jong AZJong AZ134272327-414
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17MVV MaastrichtMVV132561723-611
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19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht131571326-138
20Vitesse132651824-66


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