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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
P-P
Caernarfon

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Ferencvaros
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Champions League
Next Game: Petrocub vs. New Saints
Tuesday, August 6 at 6pm in Europa League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 90.99%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 3.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.72%) and 4-1 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.22%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (0.96%).

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
90.99% (-0.22 -0.22) 5.89% (0.053999999999999 0.05) 3.12% (0.1719 0.17)
Both teams to score 56.94% (2.315 2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
88.4% (0.95699999999999 0.96)11.6% (-0.952 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
74.96% (1.606 1.61)25.04% (-1.601 -1.6)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.56% (0.099000000000004 0.1)1.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
92.48% (0.402 0.4)7.52% (-0.3971 -0.4)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (2.295 2.3)42.23% (-2.289 -2.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (1.918 1.92)78.63% (-1.913 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 90.99%
    Caernarfon Town 3.12%
    Draw 5.89%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
4-0 @ 8.19% (-0.472 -0.47)
3-0 @ 7.72% (-0.568 -0.57)
4-1 @ 7.06% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 6.95% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 6% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.491 -0.49)
6-0 @ 4.92% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.109 -0.11)
6-1 @ 4.24% (0.156 0.16)
4-2 @ 3.04% (0.207 0.21)
7-0 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.154 0.15)
5-2 @ 2.58% (0.212 0.21)
7-1 @ 2.57% (0.131 0.13)
1-0 @ 2.57% (-0.274 -0.27)
6-2 @ 1.83% (0.175 0.18)
8-0 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
8-1 @ 1.36% (0.089 0.09)
7-2 @ 1.11% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 6.59%
Total : 90.99%
1-1 @ 2.22% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.03% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 5.89%
1-2 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 3.12%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
7-1
Caernarfon
McManus (7', 59' pen.), Clark (13'), Cieslewicz (16', 47'), Redmond (22'), Hudson (90')
Lloyd (72')
Maher (33')
Maher (33')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-8
New Saints
Bradley (7')
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
New Saints
2-1
Caernarfon
Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
0-1
New Saints
McManus (72')
rhs 2.0
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