World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Argentina3 - 0Chile
Reaction
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Argentina playmaker Paulo Dybala comments on wearing Lionel Messi's number 10 jersey in Thursday's 2026 World Cup qualifier against Chile.
Sep 6, 12:44
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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifier against Chile.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
We said: Argentina 2-0 Chile
Despite the absence of Messi, Argentina will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top against Chile, who themselves are missing a few key players. The defending world champions possess a squad filled with talent and they should have few problems securing a routine victory on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Argentina | Draw | Chile |
60.63% ( -0.29) | 23.35% ( 0.03) | 16.02% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 43.63% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |