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World Cup
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Argentina national football team

Venezuela
1 - 1
Argentina

Rondon (65')
Andres Martinez (32'), Batista (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Otamendi (13')
Pezzella (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Venezuela and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's World Cup qualifier away in Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Venezuela 0-2 Argentina

 Going away anywhere in South America is rarely straightforward, but Argentina have won three of their four games on the road in qualifying so far, and are clear favourites to claim another. Venezuela have proven a tough nut to crack on home soil, as they are still unbeaten in four qualifiers, but they are yet to face a side with the quality of Argentina, and their attacking deficiencies could cost them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.82%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawArgentina
18.26% (-0.654 -0.65) 25.07% (0.463 0.46) 56.67% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-2.243 -2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (-2.419 -2.42)57.77% (2.422 2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49% (-1.948 -1.95)78.51% (1.951 1.95)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-2.2 -2.2)45.88% (2.203 2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37% (-1.766 -1.77)81.63% (1.769 1.77)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.87 -0.87)20.39% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19% (-1.406 -1.41)52.81% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 18.26%
    Argentina 56.66%
    Draw 25.07%
VenezuelaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 4.52% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.17% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 18.26%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.831 0.83)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.314 -0.31)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 14.87% (0.95 0.95)
0-2 @ 11.82% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.27% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.66%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Argentina

Venezuela
14.6%
Draw
14.0%
Argentina
71.3%
171
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Mar 25, 2022 11.30pm
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3-0
Venezuela
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> Preview
Sep 3, 2021 1am
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Argentina
Soteldo (90+4' pen.)
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Martinez (32')
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> Preview
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Murillo (51')
rhs 2.0
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