Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Singapore had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Singapore win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.