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Adelaide United
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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 1, 2024 at 9.28am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne City

Macarthur
2 - 0
Melbourne City

Oliveira (47', 57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nabbout (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 24 at 6.40am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.01%) and 3-2 (4.61%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
40.59% (0.277 0.28) 21.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 37.96% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)
Both teams to score 71.61% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.22% (0.028000000000006 0.03)27.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.54% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.11399999999999 0.11)14.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.22199999999999 0.22)43.2% (-0.226 -0.23)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)15.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.175 -0.18)45.1% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 40.59%
    Melbourne City 37.96%
    Draw 21.45%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 37.96%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
3-3
Macarthur
MacLaren (58', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Sakhi (71')
Davila (61'), Hollman (83'), Millar (88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')
Mar 19, 2023 8am
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Macarthur
0-1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')
MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')
Mar 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
3-1
Macarthur
Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')
Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast25154644261849
2Wellington PhoenixWellington25147438251349
3Melbourne VictoryVictory251011440291141
4Sydney FCSydney FC2511594539638
5Macarthur2510874445-138
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney25104113943-434
7Melbourne CityMelbourne City25961047371033
8Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2585123951-1229
9Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2484124545028
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2569103743-627
11Perth GloryPerth Glory2557134258-1622
12Western UnitedWestern Utd2464142948-1922


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