Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
71.44% (![]() | 15.74% (![]() | 12.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.75% (![]() | 27.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.2% (![]() | 47.79% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.24% (![]() | 6.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.04% (![]() | 24.96% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% (![]() | 33.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% (![]() | 70.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 8.99% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.44% | 1-1 @ 6.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.74% | 1-2 @ 3.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 12.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |