Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Nigeria1 - 1Eq Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Nigeria 1-1 Equatorial Guinea
Unbeaten in 11 competitive and non-competitive games, Equatorial Guinea should make that 12 against a Super Eagles side heavily reliant on Osimhen to deliver the goods. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 5.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (12.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
79.12% ( 0.06) | 15.12% ( 0.03) | 5.76% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 32.44% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
