MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 20:16:24| >> :600:724789:724789:
Koln logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Nice

FC Koln
2 - 2
Nice

Huseinbasic (48'), Duda (60')
Hubers (55'), Maina (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Laborde (40'), Brahimi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Koln and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Nice

We think that the quick turnaround between games could catch up with Koln, whose amount of injuries significantly reduces Baumgart's ability to rotate his players' tired legs. Nice have gradually improved in recent weeks and clearly have more power in midfield, which could prove crucial to helping them advance to the knockout stages at their opponents' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawNice
32.02% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 25.27% (-0.087 -0.09) 42.71% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.326 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.411 0.41)47.79% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.378 0.38)69.98% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.24900000000001 0.25)28.23% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.312 0.31)63.93% (-0.306 -0.31)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.191 0.19)22.32% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (0.279 0.28)55.79% (-0.272 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 32.02%
    Nice 42.71%
    Draw 25.27%
FC KolnDrawNice
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.71%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Nice

FC Koln
37.5%
Draw
14.6%
Nice
47.9%
96
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 6.40pm
Group D
Nice
1-1
FC Koln
Delort (62' pen.)
Boudaoui (39')
Tigges (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Aston Villa95311611518
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8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
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11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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