We said: FC Koln 1-2 Nice
We think that the quick turnaround between games could catch up with Koln, whose amount of injuries significantly reduces Baumgart's ability to rotate his players' tired legs.
Nice have gradually improved in recent weeks and clearly have more power in midfield, which could prove crucial to helping them advance to the knockout stages at their opponents' expense.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.