Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 7-1 Celtic
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Union Berlin 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin's resilient defensive displays this season could make them stubborn opponents for Dortmund, and it would not be surprising if the away side needed a later winner to take all three points. If the visitors were to score early, it is difficult to see how the hosts get back into the game considering their poor offensive record this term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
39.05% ( -0.38) | 24.12% ( -0.06) | 36.83% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
