Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund4 - 2VfL Bochum
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-1 Dortmund
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum
Though Dortmund were outplayed by Stuttgart, it is difficult to see them dropping points at home against relegation-contenders Bochum. Additionally, given the visitors' poor away record and their concerning defensive record, it would not be surprising if the hosts scored multiple goals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.43%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (4.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
62.43% ( -0) | 18.65% ( -0.01) | 18.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
