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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
30.04% ( 1.14) | 23.95% ( 0.04) | 46.01% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.26% ( 0.49) | 42.74% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.86% ( 0.49) | 65.14% ( -0.48) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( 1.02) | 27.02% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( 1.31) | 62.37% ( -1.3) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( -0.28) | 18.78% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.82% ( -0.47) | 50.18% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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