Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund4 - 2Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Borussia Dortmund advance to their first Champions League semi-final since 2013 after beating Atletico Madrid 4-2 in their quarter-final second leg at Signal Iduna Park.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Borussia Dortmund could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Girona
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
44.56% ( 0.03) | 22.99% ( -0.01) | 32.45% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
